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	<title>Comments on: An Antitrust Trifecta</title>
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		<title>By: Josh</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/08/01/an-antitrust-trifecta/comment-page-1/#comment-11311</link>
		<dc:creator>Josh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Aug 2006 20:27:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Thanks for the comments, guys.  

I still don&#039;t necessarily agree that there is anything in US doctrine itself which prevents an analysis of long run competitive harms.  But the distinction between (3) and (2) where US authorities place a ZERO weight on long run harms is without much difference.  In any event, your point that there may be several factors contributing to the diverengence is well taken.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the comments, guys.  </p>
<p>I still don&#8217;t necessarily agree that there is anything in US doctrine itself which prevents an analysis of long run competitive harms.  But the distinction between (3) and (2) where US authorities place a ZERO weight on long run harms is without much difference.  In any event, your point that there may be several factors contributing to the diverengence is well taken.</p>
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		<title>By: Hanno Kaiser</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/08/01/an-antitrust-trifecta/comment-page-1/#comment-11309</link>
		<dc:creator>Hanno Kaiser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Aug 2006 19:43:27 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Josh - Your points (1) and (2) capture what I was getting at. Today, we are generally less confident in long run predictions than, say, in the 1960s, which is why antitrust got out the business of &quot;stemming rising tides of economic concentration.&quot; We&#039;re also less sanguine about predicting the future than the European Commission. The law of predatory pricing is a nice illustration of that. I don&#039;t mean to imply that the focus on the short run is the &lt;em&gt;only&lt;/em&gt; difference, and I agree with your point (3), but I think that different time horizons contribute significantly to the divergent assessment of situations in which future harms are traded off against present gains.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Josh &#8211; Your points (1) and (2) capture what I was getting at. Today, we are generally less confident in long run predictions than, say, in the 1960s, which is why antitrust got out the business of &#8220;stemming rising tides of economic concentration.&#8221; We&#8217;re also less sanguine about predicting the future than the European Commission. The law of predatory pricing is a nice illustration of that. I don&#8217;t mean to imply that the focus on the short run is the <em>only</em> difference, and I agree with your point (3), but I think that different time horizons contribute significantly to the divergent assessment of situations in which future harms are traded off against present gains.</p>
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		<title>By: Manfred Gabriel</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/08/01/an-antitrust-trifecta/comment-page-1/#comment-11293</link>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Aug 2006 17:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Regarding Hanno&#039;s point about the short run. I think it is obvious as a general proposition that our normative assumptions about market behavior and market structure will determine antitrust policy. If the markets are generally presumed to be self-correcting, it makes sense to restrict predatory pricing claims to case that suggest that markets will not self-correct, or that interim harm is too great. If our focus is on the short run, we limit the range of market effects that we will potentially consider as interim harm. I like your differentiation of approaches, though, because (1) and (3) highlight a point about the nature of competive harm. A probabilistic assessment of the success of predatory pricing looks to the potential of self-correction of the markets (entry will prevent recoupment), but does not ask the long-range question: Even after entry during the harvest phase, will there be competitive harm as a residue of the intervening predatory pricing? I am not sure that this is a question that should be asked, but I agree with Hanno that our current doctrinal focus in the U.S. prevents us from asking it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regarding Hanno&#8217;s point about the short run. I think it is obvious as a general proposition that our normative assumptions about market behavior and market structure will determine antitrust policy. If the markets are generally presumed to be self-correcting, it makes sense to restrict predatory pricing claims to case that suggest that markets will not self-correct, or that interim harm is too great. If our focus is on the short run, we limit the range of market effects that we will potentially consider as interim harm. I like your differentiation of approaches, though, because (1) and (3) highlight a point about the nature of competive harm. A probabilistic assessment of the success of predatory pricing looks to the potential of self-correction of the markets (entry will prevent recoupment), but does not ask the long-range question: Even after entry during the harvest phase, will there be competitive harm as a residue of the intervening predatory pricing? I am not sure that this is a question that should be asked, but I agree with Hanno that our current doctrinal focus in the U.S. prevents us from asking it.</p>
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