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	<title>Comments on: Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism</title>
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	<description>Academic commentary on law, business, economics and more</description>
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		<title>By: TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Armen Alchian, Harold Demsetz and Ben Klein Should Win the 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-144880</link>
		<dc:creator>TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Armen Alchian, Harold Demsetz and Ben Klein Should Win the 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 19:09:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-144880</guid>
		<description>[...] some combination of Armen Alchian, Harold Demsetz and Ben Klein should win the award.  In 2006, I argued that the UCLA trio outperformed the more conventionally wise trio of Holmstrom, Hart and Williamson [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] some combination of Armen Alchian, Harold Demsetz and Ben Klein should win the award.  In 2006, I argued that the UCLA trio outperformed the more conventionally wise trio of Holmstrom, Hart and Williamson [...]</p>
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		<title>By: TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Predicting the Nobel Again &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-118582</link>
		<dc:creator>TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Predicting the Nobel Again &#8230;</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Oct 2007 03:18:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-118582</guid>
		<description>[...] should note that I&#8217;m not very good at this Nobel prediction game. Last year I incorrectly predicted that Fama, Thaler &amp; French would win the prize and ended up losing a [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] should note that I&#8217;m not very good at this Nobel prediction game. Last year I incorrectly predicted that Fama, Thaler &amp; French would win the prize and ended up losing a [...]</p>
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		<title>By: TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Monday Morning Quarterback &#8212; Nobel Edition</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21897</link>
		<dc:creator>TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Monday Morning Quarterback &#8212; Nobel Edition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2006 21:22:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21897</guid>
		<description>[...] Sunday links: proxy investing revisited &#171; Abnormal Returns on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Report on 2006 Proxy Season on Majority Voting For Directors.Geoffrey Manne on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Joshua Wright on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Keith on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Geoffrey Manne on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Ideoblog on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Update: Vandy&#8217;s PhD in Law and Economics on More on JD/PhD&#039;s in Law and Economics.Josh on Update: Vandy&#039;s PhD in Law and Economics.Keith on Update: Vandy&#039;s PhD in Law and Economics. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Sunday links: proxy investing revisited &laquo; Abnormal Returns on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.TRUTH ON THE MARKET &raquo; Report on 2006 Proxy Season on Majority Voting For Directors.Geoffrey Manne on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Joshua Wright on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Keith on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Geoffrey Manne on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.Ideoblog on Nobel Speculation and Some Very Casual Empiricism.TRUTH ON THE MARKET &raquo; Update: Vandy&#8217;s PhD in Law and Economics on More on JD/PhD&#8217;s in Law and Economics.Josh on Update: Vandy&#8217;s PhD in Law and Economics.Keith on Update: Vandy&#8217;s PhD in Law and Economics. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Sunday links: proxy investing revisited &#171; Abnormal Returns</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21844</link>
		<dc:creator>Sunday links: proxy investing revisited &#171; Abnormal Returns</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2006 15:20:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21844</guid>
		<description>[...] Josh Wright at Truth on the Market and Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution on who should (and will) win the Nobel Prize in Economics. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Josh Wright at Truth on the Market and Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution on who should (and will) win the Nobel Prize in Economics. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Geoffrey Manne</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21753</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoffrey Manne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2006 06:36:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21753</guid>
		<description>You&#039;re on.  I can taste my hard-won 5 Guys burger already . . . .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re on.  I can taste my hard-won 5 Guys burger already . . . .</p>
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		<title>By: Joshua Wright</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21728</link>
		<dc:creator>Joshua Wright</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2006 04:20:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21728</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the comments.  

Keith: If there is ever a Nobel in Legal Science (a la Tom Ulen), Posner surely will be a frontrunner.  Within economics itself, I agree with you that the lack of PhD should not be a dealbreaker. And to be sure, Posner&#039;s contributions within economics itself are worthy of consideration.  But I&#039;m sticking to my guns here and casting my hypothetical non-Phd vote for Tullock.

Geoff: Ok.  I&#039;ll give you even hypothetical blog money (you know, like the kind I earn blogging  here ... ) on the &quot;field&quot; versus a group including Hart, Williamson, and Bhagwati?  Loser buys hypothetical dinner ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the comments.  </p>
<p>Keith: If there is ever a Nobel in Legal Science (a la Tom Ulen), Posner surely will be a frontrunner.  Within economics itself, I agree with you that the lack of PhD should not be a dealbreaker. And to be sure, Posner&#8217;s contributions within economics itself are worthy of consideration.  But I&#8217;m sticking to my guns here and casting my hypothetical non-Phd vote for Tullock.</p>
<p>Geoff: Ok.  I&#8217;ll give you even hypothetical blog money (you know, like the kind I earn blogging  here &#8230; ) on the &#8220;field&#8221; versus a group including Hart, Williamson, and Bhagwati?  Loser buys hypothetical dinner &#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Keith</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21725</link>
		<dc:creator>Keith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2006 03:51:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21725</guid>
		<description>How about a Nobel for Richard Posner for his foundational work in law and economics? Sure, he doesn&#039;t have a PhD in economics, but neither did last year&#039;s winner, my cousin Bob Aumann, whose PhD is in mathematics. (Daniel Kahneman&#039;s PhD isn&#039;t in economics either.)

Sure, Coase has already been recognized for his invaluable contributions to law and economics. But Posner&#039;s enormous impact deserves to be recognized too, either on its own or together with the work of other major figures in the field such as Calabresi, Manne, and Shavell.

Certainly, if the Nobel committee is going to use citation analysis as a way to measure impact, Posner would have to be very high on the committee&#039;s list. If it doesn&#039;t happen for Posner this year, it ought to happen eventually.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How about a Nobel for Richard Posner for his foundational work in law and economics? Sure, he doesn&#8217;t have a PhD in economics, but neither did last year&#8217;s winner, my cousin Bob Aumann, whose PhD is in mathematics. (Daniel Kahneman&#8217;s PhD isn&#8217;t in economics either.)</p>
<p>Sure, Coase has already been recognized for his invaluable contributions to law and economics. But Posner&#8217;s enormous impact deserves to be recognized too, either on its own or together with the work of other major figures in the field such as Calabresi, Manne, and Shavell.</p>
<p>Certainly, if the Nobel committee is going to use citation analysis as a way to measure impact, Posner would have to be very high on the committee&#8217;s list. If it doesn&#8217;t happen for Posner this year, it ought to happen eventually.</p>
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		<title>By: Geoffrey Manne</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21686</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoffrey Manne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Oct 2006 19:06:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21686</guid>
		<description>I predict it will be a European I&#039;ve never heard of and who doesn&#039;t in a million years deserve it over Alchian and Demsetz, Tullock, or even Hart/Holmstrom/Williamson.  In other words, &lt;a href=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/What_is...Cliff_Clavin%3F_(Cheers) rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;someone who&#039;s never been in my kitchen.&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I predict it will be a European I&#8217;ve never heard of and who doesn&#8217;t in a million years deserve it over Alchian and Demsetz, Tullock, or even Hart/Holmstrom/Williamson.  In other words, <a href=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/What_is...Cliff_Clavin%3F_(Cheers) rel="nofollow">someone who&#8217;s never been in my kitchen.</a></p>
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		<title>By: Ideoblog</title>
		<link>http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/comment-page-1/#comment-21674</link>
		<dc:creator>Ideoblog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Oct 2006 15:11:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2006/10/07/nobel-speculation-and-casual-empiricism/#comment-21674</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Nobel (economics) predictions...&lt;/strong&gt;

Josh Wright, in a great post, likes Tullock, Klein, Alchian and Demsetz. Tyler Cowen also likes Tullock, but predicts Fama and Thaler. Two years ago I put in my vote for my former down-the-hall neighbor Tullock, saying that a prize...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Nobel (economics) predictions&#8230;</strong></p>
<p>Josh Wright, in a great post, likes Tullock, Klein, Alchian and Demsetz. Tyler Cowen also likes Tullock, but predicts Fama and Thaler. Two years ago I put in my vote for my former down-the-hall neighbor Tullock, saying that a prize&#8230;</p>
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